The Best Way to Bet on the NFL
2010-10-12
If you are a new fan who has enjoyed watching an NFL match, you should know that the NFL teams have different playing schedules. This is the guide that will help you place a bet. You should be keen on the odds. You have to compare the teams that are taking up against each other. You can look at their previous performance to establish whether they are competent enough. You can look at their friendly matches’ trends. A good team should make several wins. The way a team is prepared for the match is another factor. Many teams that want to show a good play will take some time off to practice. You should make sure that you are getting it right for the way it is.
If you have some super teams on the line, then you should brace yourself for a tough betting. The super teaser is placed on several teams and the results received show that there are different points. You have to use a spread to determine a winner. They do not win high amounts of money and this is the main reason as to why you have to place many bets. You can get a lot of tips in the sports betting pages. All the teams that you have bet on must win for you to get the money. If one wins and the other loses, then you do not get anything.
You can bet on a group of games without pinpointing on the NFL teams. The rules are the same. All the teams in the cluster that you chose have to win before you can get the money. It is a lucrative betting but you have to think about the loss as well. You should evaluate the teams very well and make sure that you get to know their performance history. The point spread uses an imaginary number. This is the best way to make sure that no matter how bad the underdogs perform, you will still get to make some money out of the game.
If you want to get it right, you should make sure that you keep watching the games and understand the different NFL teams. You get psyched up watching the progress of your team’s performance. You can go to the live show and cheer them on. This is a great support that can push your team to the winning point. You should not place all your bets on a single day. You have to spread it out in a given period of time. This will enable you to benefit from the luck streak. At most, you can bet for three out of the ten or more teams that are playing.
(431) DENVER at (432) NEW ENGLAND2008-10-20After getting throttled by San Diego in front of a national TV NBC Sunday night audience last week, the Patriots will try to turn the tables on Denver. By the time the ball gets kicked off on Monday, New England will have gone 30 days in between home games. Playing as a field goal underdog at presstime, over 70% of the action at Sportsbook backed the Broncos.
The last time HC Bill Belichick’s team played at home, it was whipped by Miami 38-13, the sixth straight ATS loss for the franchise at Gillette Stadium. However, Belichick is 14-4 ATS vs. excellent passing teams averaging >=260 PYPG as the coach of the Pats. Denver meanwhile, has had its own struggles, losing its last five games against the number despite sitting at 4-2 currently. As road dogs, the Broncos are on a 1-6 ATS slide. In the h2h series between these teams, Denver leads 9-3 SU & ATS in the L12.
Mike Shanahan versus Bill Belichick. The sideline chess game may be just as good as the one on the field. Both head coaches could be poster boys for "No Guts, No Glory," especially Shanahan, who went for two points and the win against San Diego in Week 2. Belichick's probably the only other coach with enough confidence in his team, and desire to drop the hammer on an opponent.
And you can bet he'll be ready to go for broke given Shanahan's current three-game winning streak in the series.
The Pats return home after splitting a West Coast trip to San Francisco and San Diego. Despite the loss of Tom Brady, New England is 3-2 after a 30-10 loss against the Chargers last Sunday night. In refraining from trying to become an NFL superhero, quarterback Matt Cassel's success has revolved around making the right decisions, not the highlight films.
Aside from taking far too many sacks (19), Cassel's completing a high-percentage of his throws (64.8) and beginning to do more than just check down and move the offense in small chunks.
He takes aim at a Denver defense that continues to sputter no matter where it plays. The Broncos fell for the second time in three weeks, losing at home to Jacksonville, 24-17, and the defense was gored for 416 yards, includng 276 through the air by David Garrard.
The Pats can still score in bunches and from anywhere-just ask the 49ers, who watched Randy Moss burn the secondary for a 66-yard touchdown. What New England desperately needs to improve is a running game split amongst three players (Sammy Morris, LaMont Jordan and Laurence Maroney), none of whom would be shoo-ins for a starting job on any other franchise. For the bruising-and often bruised-Maroney and shifty Morris at least Denver's defense, which allows an average of 114.8 yards per game, offers an opportunity to get on the right track.
Jay Cutler has picked apart his fair share of suspect pass defenses, notably Oakland and New Orleans but struggled against the one upper-echelon secondary on the schedule, Tampa Bay.
PREDICTION
Unlike past runners-up in the Super Bowl, the Patriots have so far managed to avoid the Super Bowl jinx. Not many would have bet on a winning record for the defending AFC champs at even this stage, but Belichick won't be happy playing with house money. It's just on another challenge for a future Hall of Fame coach.
NEW ENGLAND 27, DENVER 17
NFL: Winning Big Money on NFL Draft2008-04-25All right, maybe not BIG money, but at least the title got your attention to read on and who knows, maybe you can cash in. Of course, Sportsbook.com will be your home on Saturday for all the action, including props like how many QB’s will be selected in the first round. Right now the key number is Over/Under 1.5.
Imagine talking to your friends on Monday and telling them you picked up a few hundred dollars or even more betting on the NFL Draft! My assignment was to study all the aspects of where players are going. In order to make you money with my selections, I’ve channeled the spirits of Mel Kiper, Todd McShay and other draft gurus to assure I can be correct.
One difference everyone will see in this year’s 2008 draft is the pace. In the first round, teams will have 10 minutes to make their selections instead of 15. The second-round window will be seven minutes. Rounds 3 through 7 will be five minutes. That will mean all the talking heads will have to get up to speed, with less boring time.
I’ll rate my prop selections from Sportsbook.com on a 1-5 basis, with five being the best plays.
Number of Quarterbacks taken in Round One (Over/Under 1.5)
What a toughie to start with. Matt Ryan will of course be picked and based on history it would make sense Brian Brohm would be taken. However, in surveying the landscape of immediate needs, not sure who really needs a signal caller and seeing the amount of money that would be required to sign one and have him sit, not sure any NFL team will do that. That said somebody is sure to pull boneheaded move and draft a player they don’t really need. Still with this year’s crop of QB’s filled with uncertainty, bet the Under on this prop. Rating -2
Number of Running Backs taken in Round One (Over/Under 4)
Heavy action on the Under, now up to -350 in this spot. The only true every down back is Darren McFadden, whose skill set includes taking the ball out of the shotgun formation. Next is Rashard Mendenhall, who though doesn’t possess the straight line speed of DM, has more then enough gitty-up and can run inside or outside, just ask USC. Jonathan Stewart is the last sure-fire first round selection. He is the perfect complimentary back to a team that has shifty starter. What makes this an Over wager is Felix Jones is available. Dallas in no longer enamored with Julius Jones and will want somebody new to tag with Marion Barber. Owner Jerry Jones is Arkansas grad, loves to play GM on draft day and Jones went to what college, that’s right Arkansas. Play Over to cash +270 ticket. Rating -4
Number of Wide Receivers taken in Round One (Over/Under 3)
Based purely on talent, its hard to make a case more than one wide receiver will be taken in the top 11, since Buffalo looks to be hooked on Devin Thomas. Malcolm Kelly and James Hardy have first round ability and likely will be taken, but sure things, hardly. Going to pass here, because other then these three, nobody else is worthy, and need does not seem to be an issue.
Number of Offensive Linemen taken in Round One (Over/Under 6)
With Jake Long already heading to Miami, six more are needed to go Over. Like the Dolphins, Chicago, Atlanta and Kansas City appear to have pressing needs, taking the total to four. Talent wise, a number of outstanding linemen are available. As is the case most years, you’ll see a run at a certain position as GM’s sometimes panic if the guy they pegged gets picked. Thus they’ll go with the logic of protecting the quarterback and making the running game click and sense there is enough depth at this position, seven offensive linemen is a real possibility. Play Over 6. Rating -3
Number of Defensive Backs (CB/S) taken in Round One (Over/Under 5.5)
This prop wager all hinges on what Baltimore does. If Matt Ryan falls to eight, expect the Ravens to draft him. That would mean five would be the correct number for this bet, making Under the play. If Atlanta takes Ryan, Baltimore could take Leodis McKelvin or Dominque Rodgers-Cromartie. Kenny Phillips from Miami will be taken, as will Mike Jenkins. Corner Aqib Talib might be the best in the entire draft, however character issues make him late first rounder, possibly in Green Bay. Antoine Cason will be the sixth DB chosen, sending this number Over, if Ryan is gone by number eight slot. I’m betting he is thus wagering the -115. Rating -3
Chris Long - What Will his Draft Pick Position Be (Over/Under 3.5)
Be serious. The Rams are taking Howie’s kid as the number two pick. Granted, -200 is a little rich, but think of it as betting the Patriots against the Jets on the money line. If by some crazy chance, St. Louis goes with Glen Dorsey, look for Atlanta to trade down and team that covets Long take him third. Rating-5
Darren McFadden - What Will his Draft Pick Position Be (Over/Under 5.5)
Al Davis has always been enamored with speed, thus expect him to take McFadden at four and try to move one of the dozen other running backs under contract during the draft. Play Under. Rating-3
Matt Ryan - What Will his Draft Pick Position Be (Over/Under 7.5)
Play Over, as Atlanta gets cold feet. Rating -3
Glenn Dorsey - What Will his Draft Pick Position Be (Over/Under 2.5)
Betting Chris Long to St. Louis, making this Over play. Rating -3
Sedrick Ellis - What Will his Draft Pick Position Be (Over/Under 8.5)
Indications are Cincinnati at nine, believe the USC DT will be available and take him here. Play Over. Rating – 4
Vernon Gholston - What Will his Draft Pick Position Be (Over/Under 6.5)
If Kansas City doesn’t take him at five to replace Jared Allen, the Jets almost assuredly will next at six. Play Under- Rating -4
Rashard Mendenhall - What Will his Draft Pick Position Be (Over/Under 15.5)
It seems to be no coincidence that the number chose for this prop and the Detroit Lions draft position is identical (15 that is). Play Under with the Lions needing a first rate running back to go with new offensive philosophy. Rating -4
Jonathan Stewart - What Will his Draft Pick Position Be (Over/Under 20.5)
Tricky call here on the former Oregon Duck. He’s had his share of injuries, making durability concerns real. He’s a big back, who can cut on a dime, making him prone to ankle injuries over the short and long term. The Eagles (19th) or Seahawks (25th) are the logical teams for Stewart to be chosen by. My guess is Philadelphia does defensive backfield and Seattle scoops him up. Play Over. Rating -1
DeSean Jackson - What Will his Draft Pick Position Be (Over/Under 27.5)
What team has aging quarterback, a lead receiver in his mid-30’s and no other consistent outside threat? If you guessed Tampa Bay, you are correct. The Bucs draft 20th, meaning DeSean Jackson will be wearing pewter, red and white in the fall. Under. Rating -5
Draft Matchups: Which Player Will Get Drafted 1st?
* Darren McFadden -140 vs Matt Ryan +110
Challenging wager, picking McFadden as Atlanta doesn’t pull the trigger on Ryan. Rating -3
* Chris Long +140 vs Glenn Dorsey -180
Everything I’m reading suggests Long to St. Louis as second selection. Rating -5
* Briam Brohm -260 vs Chad Henne +200
If Atlanta passes on Ryan, this is where they pick up Brian Brohm to fill quarterback needs. Rating -3
* Joe Flacco +105 vs Chad Henne -135
Even with all the good things heard about Flacco, that was February, this April, does any organization take a flyer on a quarterback or look around the NFL, with the number of Wolverines QB’s that have cashed paychecks the last 15 years. Pick Henne. Rating -2
* Jonathan Stewart -180 vs Felix Jones +140
Even though Jones appears headed to Dallas at 28th slot, rumors are starting to percolate, Arizona might jump in and take Jones. I’d still lean with Stewart; however hearing enough talk this could be real. Rating -1
Total SEC Players Drafted in the 1st Round (Over/Under 6.5)
An uncertain wager on Under, with Marcus Harrison of Arkansas the one player that could tip the scale the wrong way. Rating-1
Total ACC Players Drafted in the 1st Round (Over/Under 6.5)
After careful study, don’t find the seventh player, mark this play as an Under. Rating-3
Total Big 10 Players Drafted in the 1st Round (Over/Under 4.5)
Four players are set, with Indiana’s James Hardy the variable selection. His inability to play hard all the time has the Under as the play. Rating-2
Total PAC 10 Players Drafted in the 1st Round (Over/Under 4.5)
With such at deep draft at the cornerback position, Antoine Cason is fifth Pac-10 player picked in opening round. Rating -3
Many different sportsbooks are offering wagers on certain players picked in the first round, thought I’d share my absolutely favorite one…
Former Penn State LB Dan Conner to be taken in first round?
This is legalized thievery at +150 for the answer to be NO. Rating-5
Disclaimer- There is no way to know what teams might make trades that would significantly alter how the draft plays out. Take this into consideration.
NFL - Tennessee at Denver 2007-11-19ESPN offers up a Monday night battle between a pair of teams in the thick of the AFC playoff chase. Tennessee owns two more wins than Denver in ’07, yet oddsmakers have installed the hosts as a 2-point favorite. Recent trends side entirely with the visitors.
Tennessee is 6-3 SU & 5-3 ATS, but looking to rebound from a costly loss this past week at home to Jacksonville. The Broncos come off one of their bigger wins of ‘07, a 20-11 decision in Kansas City. Both teams are just a game back in their respective division standings. Despite the two-game won-lost difference, Tennessee is a 3-point underdog. That could be a coup for bettors, since the Titans have been nothing short of remarkable as dogs, going 13-2 ATS in their L15. Meanwhile, Denver has been atrocious at home, having covered the spread in two of the L13 games. Amazingly, the Tennessee franchise has not played in Denver since ’92, as the then Houston Oilers.
The world has finally noticed: The Titans win despite themselves. The Jags found a convincing win against ‘em last week despite troubling losses on offense, and now the rest of the league is lined up to take a stab. Vince Young posted strong yardage as a passer, not a typical mode of attack for this team, but the results showed the lack of a true rushing threat is a problem. The defense is strong but can only do so much.
Denver… what can you say? They appear to be on the brink of destruction one week, then they travel to Arrowhead and disseminate the Chiefs with ease the next. The offense goes on the legs of whichever undrafted prospect is starting at RB. This year is it Selvin Young. However, it is the defense that must shine for this unit to find wins. Get after the QB, wreak havoc in the offensive backfield, and force turnovers.
Keys to the Game – A bit of rare history is possible for Denver in this contest. In all likelihood the Broncos will be a home Monday night football underdog, marking just the third time in the last 27 years this has occurred. Among the many reasons why is this uncomplicated answer. Tennessee has top three rushing offense and Broncos have bottom three rushing defense. The Titans are 20-2 ATS when they rush for 150 to 175 yards a game. Denver might want to put Dre Bly and Champ Bailey on an island in early downs and commit nine players to around the line of scrimmage and dare Vince Young to complete medium to longer passes. Broncos are hard to fathom 2-11 ATS in home games over the last two years.
StatFox Pick – Titans SU & ATS